Tim Gulden
Research Fellow
Timothy Gulden is a research fellow with the Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland (CISSM) and a research assistant professor with the Center for Social Complexity in in the Krasnow Institute for Advanced Study at George Mason University. He completed his PhD at the School of Public Policy in December of 2004 with dissertation entitled "Adaptive Agent Modeling in a Policy Context". He has been a visiting scholar at the Brookings Institution's Center for Social and Economic Dynamics (CSED) and attended the Santa Fe Institute's Complex Systems Summer School in 2002. From 1989 through 1999, he was the technical director of the GIS program for Westchester County, New York.
While at CISSM, he has worked on a wide variety of issues including the oversight of hazardous biological research, the security implications of various policies in response to climate change and the spatial and temporal dynamics of civil violence. He has also done work analyzing the global urban system using satellite derived data on nighttime lights.
Currently, his main projects are a USIP funded study of the relationship between local ethnic mix and propensity to violence in conflict situations and a large interdisciplinary effort at GMU to build agent-based models of violent conflict in Eastern Africa.
Contact:
tgulden@umd.edu
(301) 404-5747
Recent Papers in CISSM Archive:
Tim Gulden, Gulden CV Fall 2007, (Curriculum Vitae, August 2007)
Tim Gulden, PUAF 699K: Civil Conflict and Terrorism, (Syllabus, January 2008)
John Steinbruner and Tim Gulden, "The Security Implications of Global Warming", (Public Policy, Winter, 2008)
John Steinbruner and Tim Gulden, "Violence in Iraq is Beyond Our Control", (The Baltimore Sun, 09/10/2007)
Tim Gulden and John Steinbruner, "Comprehending Violence in Iraq", (Submitted version of Baltimore Sun Op-Ed, 09/10/2007)
Tim Gulden and John Steinbruner, "The Localized Nature of Violence in Iraq", (CISSM Working Paper and Op-Ed Draft, 08/24/2007)
Tim Gulden, PUAF 698H: Complex Systems Perspectives on Public Policy, (Syllabus, January 2007)
Richard Florida with Tim Gulden, "The World is Spiky", (The Atlantic Monthly, October 2005)
Steve Fetter and Tim Gulden, "Decarbonizing the Global Energy System: Implications for Energy Technology and Security", (CISSM Working Paper, April 2005)
Tim Gulden, Adaptive Agent Modelling in a Policy Context, (UMD Dissertation, December 2004)
Tim Gulden, "The Internet: Boom, Bust, and Beyond", (Summary of Proceedings, the Inn and Conference Center, 10/28/2002)
Tim Gulden, "Spatial and Temporal Patterns in Civil Violence: Guatemala 1977-1986", (Brookings CSED Working Paper No. 26, February 2002)
Tim Gulden, "Workshop on Indicators of Sustainable Development", (Summary of Proceedings, 01/23/2002)
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Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland